ChatGPT on Stock Market Crash: 10-15% Probability by 2026

When asked about a potential stock market crash, ChatGPT gave a 10% to 15% probability of a full-blown crash, with major indices falling over 35%. It also suggested a 40% to 50% chance of a market correction and a 20% to 30% chance of a deep bear market. What's interesting is that while AI tools can summarize information, predicting the future is not their strong suit. Many analysts point to strong corporate earnings and resilient consumer spending as signs of a robust economy. For example, Games Workshop, a UK company, saw its core revenues grow 17.3% to £316.1 million and operating profit surge 28.6% to £126.1 million in its most recent half-year results. Its full-year revenues are on track to reach at least £625 million, with £265 million in pre-tax profits. The bottom line is that while there are warning signs, the underlying economy shows considerable strength in many areas.